Final stability fixes after 0.4.1: Model Error leaves out spans with
unknown inputs; window sensors unknown at startup stay unknown, with last
known states restored as unknown across restarts; unload, reload and
removal can no longer publish stale results or recreate a deleted model;
Forecast Error scores only forecasts whose plan the relay matched within
2 minutes. Adds Reset learned model to Configure. Still observation-only.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Stability and correctness after 0.4.0: unknown window states are no longer
read as closed; learned coefficients are reset selectively when the
configuration they were learned under changes; plans are discarded when an
input changed during optimization, and an overtaken run never publishes;
model accuracy (Model Error) is separated from the accuracy of published
forecasts (new Forecast Error sensor). Base coefficients report confidence;
sensor weights are labelled in the zone form. Still observation-only.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Zones, electrical heat sources, windows with ventilation, wind exposure
and recovery, and exchange between adjacent zones, all observational.
docs/MODEL.md documents the equations, units, coefficient meanings,
priors and bounds, learning conditions, forecast assumptions, validation
method and results, and limitations. README gains a configuration guide
for zones, heat sources and windows, the new diagnostics and the
accuracy comparison against the base model. CHANGELOG has upgrade notes
(config entry version 3, rollback needs the backup, renamed Status
attributes). ROADMAP marks the Milestone 2 items now covered; AUDIT
records the design decisions and evidence. AGENTS.md lists the new
modules and the convention that new model terms start at zero and must
beat the base model out of sample before being relied on.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
First part of Milestone 1: Forecast Error sensors scoring the thermal
model against reality, forecast trajectories, Learning Progress and Last
Sample sensors, rejected-sample and poll-outcome counters, plus lint
and rollback-contract tests. README explains forecast accuracy, the
30-minute learning wait after a restart and where Developer Tools now
lives. ROADMAP marks the items now backed by tests; AUDIT records the
evaluation design and evidence. Still observation-only.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Bump the manifest to 0.2.3 for the stale-room policy: unusable room
sensors are left out with weights re-normalized, and an opt-in checkbox
keeps a stale sensor's last value for up to 24 hours. 0.2.2 was never
deployed, so the changelog marks it as such and the 0.2.3 notes point
0.2.1 users at both entries. ROADMAP and AUDIT record the decision and
the open control-design questions (minimum weight coverage, outdoor
temperature outages).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Bump the manifest to 0.2.2 and add CHANGELOG.md with upgrade, reset and
rollback notes covering all reliability work since 0.2.1. The README
drops its accumulated "Unreleased" sections in favor of the changelog
and gains a Diagnostics section explaining the Status attributes and how
to choose freshness limits. The package check now fails if the manifest
version has no changelog entry. ROADMAP marks the Milestone 0 items now
backed by tests and resets the next-session backlog; AUDIT.md records
this round's findings.
Still observation-only. Tested in the HA Core harness with HA 2025.12.0
and 2026.2.3; not on HAOS.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
buzeraandClaude Opus 5.5